viewJudges Scientific PLC

Judges Scientific's focus is paying dividends

Judges Scientific PLC (LON:JDG) posted strong 2018 full year results with revenues at £77.9mln (9% up year-on-year, including 5.5% organic growth) and adjusted operating profit at £14.7mln (35% up year-on-year). Revenue growth was solid across the regions, except for China/Hong Kong, where sales were down by 8% following the previous annual growth of 39%. With more than 85% of goods being exported, the weakness of sterling continued to benefit the group’s order intake, which grew across the region including 6% organic growth.

The improved demand not only supported top line growth but also the organic operating contribution that was up 30% year-on-year. Operating margin for 2018 increased to 18.9% from 15.2% in 2017 driven by operational enhancement. Along with the improved profitability, we find a ROTIC (return on total invested capital) of 27.6% at end-2018 a notable achievement from the previous year’s 20.6%. The adjusted basic earnings per share (EPS) came in at 183p, up 39% year-on-year and much higher than our estimates. The management continued its shareholder friendly dividend policy: the final dividend of 28p made a total of 40p for 2018 (FY2018), up 25% from 32p for FY2017.

Executive summary

The management of Judges is confident that there is a limited impact from macro environments such as Brexit. So far, the only impact from Brexit has been a favourable currency movement, and this continued weakness of sterling contributed to robust sales; however, the past two years’ healthy order intake has been partially propelled by currency tailwinds and the sustainability remains uncertain. While the group is mostly hedged for 2019, any unfavourable currency swings remain as one of the key downside risks in the medium-term.

In the meantime, the management reiterated its long-term goal: to optimise its capital allocation with consistent investment in research & development (R&D) and value-adding acquisition and maximise shareholder return. Albeit dependent on mergers & acquisitions (M&A) process in the future, the group’s medium/long-term ROTIC target of 30% and above looks reasonable. As shown in 2018's full-year results, we believe Judges has healthy fundamentals to continue its annual dividend growth in line with its 10-year average growth rate of 25%, which is a key investment proposition of Judges Scientific.

Quick facts: Judges Scientific PLC

Price: 5600 GBX

Market: AIM
Market Cap: £350.04 m

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Financial results and forecasts
Growth drivers
Market conditions
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